Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.168459 2.475398 2.810882 3.204894 3.655150 4.153848 4.748427
2025-08-17 1.650711 2.055495 2.537954 3.155896 3.927306 4.859851 6.074932
2025-08-24 1.411988 1.866226 2.440783 3.221945 4.258422 5.589530 7.434083
2025-08-31 1.238557 1.718741 2.356375 3.266773 4.536735 6.250875 8.749880
2025-09-07 1.087228 1.573572 2.247085 3.250316 4.711832 6.771529 9.909806
2025-09-14 0.955602 1.435901 2.126418 3.194628 4.812356 7.181993 10.938254
2025-09-21 0.855849 1.330756 2.037259 3.168653 4.943980 7.638131 12.066706
2025-09-28 0.767227 1.231196 1.943538 3.121323 5.031130 8.025873 13.117090
2025-10-05 0.750318 1.240849 2.016982 3.340031 5.553820 9.135816 15.425109
2025-10-12 0.696429 1.184342 1.978197 3.370408 5.768958 9.764849 16.995091
2025-10-19 0.665855 1.162938 1.993577 3.490362 6.142157 10.685161 19.145875
2025-10-26 0.612884 1.097546 1.927972 3.463037 6.255099 11.165956 20.563781
2025-11-02 0.557699 1.026651 1.852660 3.423167 6.363878 11.688874 22.190526
2025-11-09 0.505343 0.956164 1.772378 3.368444 6.444882 12.179851 23.835453
2025-11-16 0.476378 0.925602 1.760845 3.439125 6.766150 13.145443 26.494852
2025-11-23 0.447470 0.891802 1.739256 3.487019 7.046381 14.058228 29.149114
2025-11-30 0.413877 0.845087 1.687748 3.469434 7.192543 14.719221 31.359709
2025-12-07 0.379281 0.792642 1.619465 3.409930 7.245066 15.193406 33.226725
2025-12-14 0.351473 0.751271 1.569254 3.382176 7.359925 15.805695 35.456630
2025-12-21 0.324236 0.708280 1.511361 3.331604 7.419297 16.303902 37.486304
2025-12-28 0.324567 0.724852 1.580688 3.565299 8.128914 18.287389 43.117591
2026-01-04 0.307581 0.701343 1.560994 3.597760 8.386940 19.289897 46.573330
2026-01-11 0.299363 0.696764 1.582440 3.725943 8.878579 20.873013 51.594806